{"id":51126,"date":"2023-05-18T14:59:42","date_gmt":"2023-05-18T11:59:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/?p=51126"},"modified":"2024-06-11T21:38:48","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T18:38:48","slug":"topsuz-igne-secim-tahminleri-uzerine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/2023\/05\/18\/topsuz-igne-secim-tahminleri-uzerine\/","title":{"rendered":"TOPSUZ \u0130\u011eNE: SE\u00c7\u0130M TAHM\u0130NLER\u0130 \u00dcZER\u0130NE\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
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* 25 y\u0131ldan bu yana Mersin\u2019de ya\u015f\u0131yorum.<\/div>\n
\u00c7ocuklu\u011fumun ge\u00e7ti\u011fi, okullar\u0131nda okudu\u011fum okullar\u0131 ve \u00e7ocukluk arkada\u015flar\u0131m\u0131 herkes gibi bende unutmad\u0131m. S\u0131k s\u0131k arar g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcm. Eskiden ara s\u0131ra gidip hasret gideriyordum ama art\u0131k gidemiyorum.<\/div>\n
*Ben A.\u0130.T.\u0130.A. Kamu y\u00f6netimi b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde okudum. Lisans \u00fcst\u00fc e\u011fitim yapt\u0131m ve \u0130statistik\u00e7i unvan\u0131n\u0131 ald\u0131m.<\/div>\n
Eski ad\u0131yla T.C. Ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k Devlet \u0130statistik Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc(Yeni ad\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu-T\u00dc\u0130K) Adana B\u00f6lge M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc olarak emekli oldum.<\/div>\n
*Ankara\u2019da okurken de T.C. Ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k Devlet \u0130statistik Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc\u2019 \u00fcnde \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131mdan dolay\u0131 anketler yapmak i\u00e7in g\u00f6revli olarak t\u00fcm \u00fclkemi gezdim. Yani ben hem alayl\u0131, hem de tahsilini yapm\u0131\u015f bir istatistik\u00e7iyim.<\/div>\n
Se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesinde de bu s\u00fctunlarda se\u00e7imle ilgili bir \u00e7ok yaz\u0131 yazd\u0131m. Hi\u00e7 se\u00e7im tahmini yapmad\u0131m.<\/div>\n
*\u00c7evremde soranlara (art\u0131, eksi y\u00fczde 5 hata pay\u0131 ile) \u00a0y\u00fczde 53.5 ile birinci turda Millet \u0130ttifak\u0131 aday\u0131 Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu\u2019nun kazanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledim. Konu\u015fmama aksi bir durum olursa de\u011fi\u015fir de demi\u015ftim.<\/div>\n
*Durum de\u011fi\u015fmi\u015f.<\/div>\n
Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan 27 milyon 088 bin 360 oy \u00a0ve y\u00fczde 49.5 oran ile birinci olmu\u015f.<\/div>\n
*Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu ise 24 milyon 568 bin 196 oy ile y\u00fczde 44.89 oran ile ikici oldu ve Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imi 2. tura kald\u0131.<\/div>\n
*\u0130Y\u0130 partiyi y\u00fczde 13.5 olarak tahmin etmi\u015ftim\u2026 \u0130\u015fte burada yan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131m.<\/div>\n
*\u0130Y\u0130 Parti y\u00fczde 9.69 oy alm\u0131\u015f. Yani bir\u00e7ok ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketi gibi beni de yan\u0131ltt\u0131. Tahminimden 3.81 daha az oy alm\u0131\u015f.<\/div>\n
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\u0130Y\u0130 PART\u0130\u2019YE PAHALIYA PATLADI!<\/div>\n
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*\u0130Y\u0130 Parti neden se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi g\u00fcmb\u00fcr, g\u00fcmb\u00fcr g\u00fcmb\u00fcrderken se\u00e7imde b\u00f6yle oldu?<\/div>\n
1-Genel Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n istifa etmesi.<\/div>\n
“\u00dclkemizin ve milletimizin umudu olan Alt\u0131l\u0131 Masa\u2019n\u0131n Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 adayl\u0131k s\u00fcrecine dair, bir gazeteciye verdi\u011fim demecin, maksad\u0131 a\u015fan yorumlara neden oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyorum. Demokrasimize nefes ald\u0131racak bir s\u00fcre\u00e7te b\u00fcy\u00fck emek harcayan, Say\u0131n Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ve partimizi, ayn\u0131 zamanda, Alt\u0131l\u0131 Masay\u0131 olu\u015fturan Say\u0131n Genel Ba\u015fkanlar\u0131n iradelerini koruyup kollamak amac\u0131yla; \u0130Y\u0130 Parti\u2019deki Kurumsal \u0130li\u015fkiler Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6revimden istifa ediyorum” diyerek istifa etmesi ve sonra geri d\u00f6nmesi.<\/div>\n
2-\u0130Y\u0130 Parti genel ba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n: Millete; “milletin sesini bast\u0131ran de\u011fil, o sesi duyuran, milletin iradesinden korkan de\u011fil, o iradeden g\u00fc\u00e7 alan, milletin taleplerini hi\u00e7 sayan de\u011fil, o talepleri ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren olacaklar\u0131na” s\u00f6z verdiklerini belirten, bunun, partilerinin kurulu\u015f felsefesi oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. “Bu bizim temel ilkemizdir. Bu bizim, \u0130Y\u0130 Parti’nin var olu\u015f sebebidir.” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/div>\n
*\u0130Y\u0130 Parti lideri, ”Buna boyun e\u011fmeyiz.” dedi, \u0130mamo\u011flu ve Yava\u015f’a da “Millet sizi g\u00f6reve \u00e7a\u011f\u0131r\u0131yor” diyerek 6\u2019l\u0131 masay\u0131 terk edip geri d\u00f6nmesi pahal\u0131ya patlad\u0131.<\/div>\n
*\u0130Y\u0130 Partili \u00fclk\u00fcc\u00fcler geldikleri yere d\u00f6nd\u00fcler. B\u00f6yle olunca da MHP ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oylarla b\u00fct\u00fcn ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketlerini \u015foke etti.<\/div>\n
*\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc milletimiz siyasilerin s\u00f6zlerinden d\u00f6nmesinden b\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda. Bence bu iki istifa hem \u0130Y\u0130 Parti\u2019ye hem de Millet \u0130ttifak\u0131\u2019na pahal\u0131ya patlad\u0131.<\/div>\n
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ARA\u015eTIRMA \u015e\u0130RKETLER\u0130 DE YANILDI!<\/div>\n
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*Osmaniye\u2019den arkada\u015f\u0131m telefon etti se\u00e7im konusunda fikrimi sordu bende \u201cY\u00fczde 53.5 ile Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu kazan\u0131r\u201d dedim. Arkada\u015f\u0131mda b\u00fct\u00fcn arkada\u015flar\u0131ma, \u201cAbidin b\u00f6yle diyor\u201d demi\u015f. \u015eimdi bir\u00e7ok telefon ald\u0131m.<\/div>\n
B\u00f6yle s\u00f6ylemi\u015ftim ama bunu gazeteye yazmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131m. Soruyorlar. Bu yaz\u0131y\u0131 gazetede \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra okumalar\u0131 i\u00e7in haber verece\u011fim.<\/div>\n
*Yani bence yukar\u0131da yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131m iki sebep nelere mal oldu.<\/div>\n
*Se\u00e7im konusunda yan\u0131lan tek ben de\u011filim. \u00dclkemizdeki ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketlerinin hepsi yan\u0131lm\u0131\u015f.<\/div>\n
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MERS\u0130N M\u0130LLETVEK\u0130LLER\u0130<\/div>\n
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*Kesin olmayan sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re Mersin\u2019de<\/div>\n
*CHP 5 Milletvekili \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.1-Ali Mahir Ba\u015far\u0131r-2-G\u00fclcan K\u0131\u015f-3-M.Emin Ekmen-4-Talat Din\u00e7er-5-Hasan Ufuk \u00c7ak\u0131r.<\/div>\n
*AK Parti:4 Milletvekili \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/div>\n
1-Nureddin Nebati-2-Ali K\u0131ratl\u0131-3-Havva Sibel S\u00f6ylemez-4-Faruk Din\u00e7<\/div>\n
MHP: Levent Uysal<\/div>\n
\u0130Y\u0130 Parti:1-Burhanettin Kocamaz<\/div>\n
YE\u015e\u0130L SOL Parti:1-Ali Bozan-2-Perihan Koca.<\/div>\n
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CUMHURBA\u015eKANLI\u011eINI K\u0130M KAZANIR?<\/div>\n
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*Neyse gelelim Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imine.<\/div>\n
*Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 2. turda se\u00e7ilecek.<\/div>\n
*Bu defa en \u00e7ok oy alan aday kazanm\u0131\u015f olacak.<\/div>\n
*\u00dclkem i\u00e7in hay\u0131rl\u0131s\u0131 kim olacak ise o se\u00e7ilsin.<\/div>\n
*Yani se\u00e7im tahminleri yapanlar\u0131n hepsi yan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/div>\n
*Yani anketlere her zaman inanmamak laz\u0131m.<\/div>\n
*Peki, 28 May\u0131s 2023 tarihinde yap\u0131lacak Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kim kazan\u0131r?<\/div>\n
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\u00c7ARPITILMI\u015e S\u00d6ZLER:<\/div>\n
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Sab\u0131r g\u00f6ster i\u015fine, \u015ferler gelsin ba\u015f\u0131na.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

* 25 y\u0131ldan bu yana Mersin\u2019de ya\u015f\u0131yorum. \u00c7ocuklu\u011fumun ge\u00e7ti\u011fi, okullar\u0131nda okudu\u011fum okullar\u0131 ve \u00e7ocukluk arkada\u015flar\u0131m\u0131 herkes gibi bende unutmad\u0131m. S\u0131k s\u0131k arar g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcm. Eskiden ara s\u0131ra gidip hasret gideriyordum ama art\u0131k gidemiyorum. *Ben A.\u0130.T.\u0130.A. Kamu y\u00f6netimi b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde okudum. Lisans \u00fcst\u00fc e\u011fitim yapt\u0131m ve \u0130statistik\u00e7i unvan\u0131n\u0131 ald\u0131m. Eski ad\u0131yla T.C. Ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k Devlet \u0130statistik Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc(Yeni ad\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":50803,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51126","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-abidin-guneyli"],"views":57,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51126","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51126"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51126\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50803"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51126"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51126"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51126"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}