Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da bar\u0131\u015f hi\u00e7bir zaman kal\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131. Ate\u015fkesler oldu, anla\u015fmalar yap\u0131ld\u0131, liderler kameralar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcnde el s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ama b\u00f6lge, her defas\u0131nda yeniden gerilimin merkezine d\u00f6nd\u00fc. \u015eimdi d\u00fcnya yine ayn\u0131 soruyu soruyor: Bu kez ne kadar ileri gidilecek?<\/p>\n
Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sert a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, diplomatik bir mesajdan \u00e7ok bir \u00fcltimatom havas\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor. \u201c\u0130ran\u2019dan geriye hi\u00e7bir \u015fey kalmayacak\u201d s\u00f6zleri, art\u0131k gerilimin sadece siyasi de\u011fil askeri bir k\u0131r\u0131lma noktas\u0131na yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bug\u00fcn ya\u015fananlar s\u0131radan bir kriz de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran ile\u00a0United State aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fccadele y\u0131llard\u0131r s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Ancak bu kez denklem \u00e7ok daha tehlikeli. \u0130\u015fin i\u00e7inde yaln\u0131zca n\u00fckleer program yok; enerji yollar\u0131, K\u00f6rfez g\u00fcvenli\u011fi, \u0130srail-L\u00fcbnan hatt\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel ekonomi de var.<\/p>\n
\u00d6zellikle\u00a0Strait of Hormuz\u00fczerindeki fiili abluka, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n neden endi\u015feyle bu krizi takip etti\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6steriyor. K\u00fcresel petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131 buradan ge\u00e7iyor. Yani b\u00f6lgede patlayacak daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir sava\u015f, sadece Orta Do\u011fu\u2019yu de\u011fil, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n geri kalan\u0131n\u0131 da ekonomik olarak sarsabilir.<\/p>\n
Ve asl\u0131nda bug\u00fcn ya\u015fanan tam olarak bu korkunun b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi.<\/p>\n
Israel\u00a0ile\u00a0Hezbollah\u00a0aras\u0131nda yeniden y\u00fckselen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, sava\u015f\u0131n art\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131r a\u015fan bir yap\u0131ya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. L\u00fcbnan\u2019da y\u0131k\u0131lan evler, K\u00f6rfez\u2019de hedef al\u0131nan tesisler, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015f\u2026 Bunlar\u0131n hepsi ayn\u0131 zincirin halkalar\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ancak krizin merkezinde h\u00e2l\u00e2 n\u00fckleer mesele var.<\/p>\n
Washington, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n n\u00fckleer kapasitesini tamamen s\u0131f\u0131rlamas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor. Tahran ise en az\u0131ndan \u201csivil kullan\u0131m\u201d ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda belli bir altyap\u0131y\u0131 korumakta \u0131srar ediyor. \u0130\u015fte pazarl\u0131\u011f\u0131n en sert noktas\u0131 burada ba\u015fl\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc taraflar yaln\u0131zca teknik detaylar\u0131 de\u011fil, birbirlerine duyduklar\u0131 g\u00fcvensizli\u011fi de masaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n
Donald Trump\u00a0y\u00f6netiminin talepleri, \u0130ran a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan teslimiyet gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n tavr\u0131 ise Washington\u2019da \u201coyalama politikas\u0131\u201d olarak yorumlan\u0131yor. Bu y\u00fczden her m\u00fczakere giri\u015fimi birka\u00e7 ad\u0131m ilerledikten sonra yeniden duvara \u00e7arp\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Ama belki de en tehlikeli geli\u015fme, sava\u015f\u0131n art\u0131k sadece cephelerde de\u011fil enerji altyap\u0131lar\u0131nda da hissedilmesi.\u00a0United Arab Emirates\u2019deki n\u00fckleer enerji tesisine y\u00f6nelik insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 bunun en net \u00f6rne\u011fi. Her ne kadar radyolojik s\u0131z\u0131nt\u0131 ya\u015fanmasa da, b\u00f6yle bir sald\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n sembolik etkisi \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck.<\/p>\n
\u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc d\u00fcnya art\u0131k \u015fu ihtimali d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeye ba\u015flad\u0131:
\nYa bu sava\u015f kontrolden \u00e7\u0131karsa?<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu tarihinde en b\u00fcy\u00fck krizler bazen bir yanl\u0131\u015f hesapla ba\u015flad\u0131. Bir f\u00fcze, bir sald\u0131r\u0131, bir misilleme\u2026 Sonra kimsenin durduramad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir zincir olu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn de benzer bir e\u015fikteyiz.<\/p>\n
Ve belki de en \u00fcrk\u00fct\u00fcc\u00fc olan \u015fu: Taraflar\u0131n hi\u00e7biri geri ad\u0131m at\u0131yormu\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da bar\u0131\u015f hi\u00e7bir zaman kal\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131. Ate\u015fkesler oldu, anla\u015fmalar yap\u0131ld\u0131, liderler kameralar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcnde el s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ama b\u00f6lge, her defas\u0131nda yeniden gerilimin merkezine d\u00f6nd\u00fc. \u015eimdi d\u00fcnya yine ayn\u0131 soruyu soruyor: Bu kez ne kadar ileri gidilecek? Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik sert a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, diplomatik bir mesajdan \u00e7ok bir \u00fcltimatom havas\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor. \u201c\u0130ran\u2019dan geriye hi\u00e7bir \u015fey kalmayacak\u201d […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":133081,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[112],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-133680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-umut-can-erkan"],"views":216,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133680","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/27"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=133680"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133680\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":133682,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/133680\/revisions\/133682"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/133081"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=133680"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=133680"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=133680"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}