{"id":126301,"date":"2026-02-25T16:31:20","date_gmt":"2026-02-25T13:31:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/?p=126301"},"modified":"2026-02-25T16:31:20","modified_gmt":"2026-02-25T13:31:20","slug":"beklemenin-bedeli","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/25\/beklemenin-bedeli\/","title":{"rendered":"Beklemenin Bedeli"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Transatlantik hatt\u0131nda sular bir kez daha dalgal\u0131. \u0130talya \u201cs\u00fck\u00fbnet\u201d diyor, Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u201cazami dikkat\u201d vurgusu yap\u0131yor, ABD ise yeni bir g\u00fcmr\u00fck hamlesiyle masadaki dengeleri yeniden kurmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ortada bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ilan\u0131 yok belki ama belirsizlik, sava\u015f kadar y\u0131prat\u0131c\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en yaz var\u0131lan anla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re ABD, AB\u2019den yap\u0131lan ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne y\u00fczde 15 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulayacak; Avrupa ise \u00e7ok say\u0131da Amerikan \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcnde vergileri kald\u0131racakt\u0131. \u015eimdi ise s\u00fcre\u00e7 ask\u0131da. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc Washington y\u00f6netimi, 1974 tarihli Ticaret Yasas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 122\u2019nci maddesine dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 yeni bir ad\u0131mla fiili vergi oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 20\u2019ye yakla\u015ft\u0131rabilecek bir kap\u0131 aralad\u0131. Hukuki dayanak tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131, siyasi zemini kaygan.<\/p>\n

Tam da bu y\u00fczden Avrupa Parlamentosu frene bast\u0131. Dosyan\u0131n raport\u00f6r\u00fc Bernd Lange, \u201cyeni unsurlar ve \u00e7ok say\u0131da belirsizlik\u201d gerek\u00e7esiyle oylamay\u0131 ertelediklerini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Bu, teknik bir gecikme de\u011fil; m\u00fczakere masas\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7 dengesini yeniden tartma hamlesi.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015fin Almanya cephesinde tonu daha sert. Yeni Ba\u015fbakan Friedrich Merz belirsizli\u011fi \u201cAvrupa ve ABD ekonomileri i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck zehir\u201d olarak tan\u0131ml\u0131yor ve do\u011frudan Washington\u2019a gitmeye haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Berlin\u2019in \u00f6n almas\u0131 tesad\u00fcf de\u011fil. Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n ihracat motoru olan Almanya i\u00e7in g\u00fcmr\u00fck oranlar\u0131ndaki her puan art\u0131\u015f\u0131, \u00fcretim hatt\u0131nda bir titre\u015fim demek.<\/p>\n

Roma ise daha temkinli bir \u00e7izgide. D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Antonio Tajani, \u201c\u015firketlerimiz i\u00e7in istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k yarat\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131na dair g\u00fcvence ald\u0131k\u201d diyerek piyasaya moral vermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. \u0130talya\u2019n\u0131n gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131las\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 40\u2019\u0131n\u0131n ihracata dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bu refleks anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r. Ancak diplomatik iyimserlik ile ekonomik ger\u00e7eklik aras\u0131ndaki mesafe her zaman k\u0131sa de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n

Unutmayal\u0131m: Donald Trump i\u00e7in ticaret politikas\u0131 yaln\u0131zca ekonomik de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda i\u00e7 siyasetin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir enstr\u00fcman\u0131. \u0130\u00e7eride zorlanan bir lider, d\u0131\u015f ticaret dosyas\u0131nda sertle\u015ferek se\u00e7menine mesaj verebilir. Bu da Br\u00fcksel\u2019in \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d stratejisini hem avantajl\u0131 hem riskli k\u0131l\u0131yor. Beklemek, kar\u015f\u0131 taraf\u0131n geri ad\u0131m atmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir; ama ayn\u0131 zamanda fiili durumun kal\u0131c\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131na da yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n

\u0130talya Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Giorgia Meloni \u00fczerindeki i\u00e7 bask\u0131 da art\u0131yor. Muhalefet, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin sessizli\u011fini ele\u015ftiriyor; Roma\u2019n\u0131n Washington\u2019la fazla uyumlu bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc verdi\u011fini savunanlar \u00e7o\u011fal\u0131yor. Ancak Meloni\u2019nin hesab\u0131 daha karma\u015f\u0131k: Transatlantik ili\u015fkileri germeden, ihracat\u00e7\u0131 sanayiyi korumak.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn gelinen noktada as\u0131l soru \u015fu: Avrupa temkinli davranarak m\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7 kazan\u0131yor, yoksa belirsizli\u011fin normalle\u015fmesine mi izin veriyor?<\/p>\n

Ticaret sava\u015flar\u0131 art\u0131k tanklarla de\u011fil tarifelerle y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Y\u00fczde 15 ile y\u00fczde 20 aras\u0131ndaki fark, kimi sekt\u00f6rler i\u00e7in k\u00e2r marj\u0131n\u0131n tamam\u0131 demek. Siyasi liderler i\u00e7in bu oranlar pazarl\u0131k kalemi olabilir; fakat i\u015fletmeler i\u00e7in do\u011frudan hayatta kalma meselesi.<\/p>\n

Br\u00fcksel\u2019in bekleyi\u015fi stratejik olabilir. Ama zaman, her zaman tarafs\u0131z de\u011fildir. Bazen en b\u00fcy\u00fck maliyet, karar almaman\u0131n kendisidir.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Transatlantik hatt\u0131nda sular bir kez daha dalgal\u0131. \u0130talya \u201cs\u00fck\u00fbnet\u201d diyor, Avrupa Birli\u011fi \u201cazami dikkat\u201d vurgusu yap\u0131yor, ABD ise yeni bir g\u00fcmr\u00fck hamlesiyle masadaki dengeleri yeniden kurmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ortada bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 ilan\u0131 yok belki ama belirsizlik, sava\u015f kadar y\u0131prat\u0131c\u0131. Ge\u00e7en yaz var\u0131lan anla\u015fmaya g\u00f6re ABD, AB\u2019den yap\u0131lan ihracat\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne y\u00fczde 15 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulayacak; […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":126042,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[112],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-126301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-umut-can-erkan"],"views":763,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/27"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=126301"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126301\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":126304,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/126301\/revisions\/126304"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/126042"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=126301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=126301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=126301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}