Avrupa Birli\u011fi, Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 ayakta tutacak finansman mekanizmalar\u0131n\u0131 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, Br\u00fcksel\u2019in \u00fczerinde bariz bir gerginlik dola\u015f\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n tam g\u00f6be\u011finde hem hukuki hem siyasi hem de finansal a\u00e7\u0131dan devasa bir risk var: Rusya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n dondurulmu\u015f varl\u0131klar\u0131. Bu varl\u0131klar\u0131n kaderi, sadece Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n gelece\u011fini de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politika cesaretini de belirleyecek.<\/p>\n
Fakat son g\u00fcnlerde bu tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n tansiyonunu en \u00e7ok y\u00fckselten isim Bel\u00e7ika Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Bart De Wever oldu. De Wever\u2019\u0131n Avrupa Komisyonu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ursula von der Leyen\u2019e g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi son derece sert mektup, adeta tart\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 ba\u015fka bir seviyeye ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Ba\u015fbakan \u00f6yle bir fren yapt\u0131 ki, AB i\u00e7indeki t\u00fcm hesaplar alt\u00fcst oldu.<\/p>\n
De Wever\u2019in itiraz\u0131 basit bir \u00e7ekinceden ibaret de\u011fil. O, tazminat kredisi plan\u0131n\u0131 sadece \u201cuygunsuz\u201d ya da \u201cerken\u201d g\u00f6rm\u00fcyor; plan\u0131 do\u011frudan yanl\u0131\u015f, riskli ve yasal tuzaklarla dolu olarak tarif ediyor. \u00dcstelik sadece politik bir de\u011ferlendirme yapm\u0131yor; AB\u2019ye olduk\u00e7a a\u00e7\u0131k bir mesaj veriyor: E\u011fer bu yol se\u00e7ilecekse, Bel\u00e7ika hi\u00e7bir riski tek ba\u015f\u0131na \u00fcstlenmeyecek.<\/p>\n
Buradaki as\u0131l mesele \u015fu: Dondurulan Rus varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 185 milyar euroluk k\u0131sm\u0131 Br\u00fcksel\u2019deki Euroclear\u2019da tutuluyor. Yani bu plan\u0131n sorumlulu\u011fu fiziken de hukuken de Bel\u00e7ika\u2019n\u0131n kap\u0131s\u0131na dayan\u0131yor. Ba\u015fbakan\u0131n bu y\u00fck\u00fc omuzlamak istememesi belki anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131r; ama AB\u2019nin gelece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yarataca\u011f\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar \u00e7ok daha karma\u015f\u0131k.<\/p>\n
De Wever mektubunda bir noktay\u0131 \u00f6zellikle kal\u0131n \u00e7iziyor: \u201cNeden ke\u015ffedilmemi\u015f, hukuken kaygan ve finansal a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemez bir alana isteyerek girelim?\u201d Asl\u0131nda bu, AB\u2019nin son y\u0131llardaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck korkusunun \u00f6zeti. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131 hamleleri, tahkim s\u00fcre\u00e7leri, varl\u0131klar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fi\u2026 Hepsi ciddi bir bilinmezlik ta\u015f\u0131yor. Ba\u015fbakan bu bilinmezli\u011fin \u201cteorik bir risk\u201d olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, aksine ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme ihtimalinin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f, AB liderlerini yeni bir aray\u0131\u015fa itti. Aral\u0131k zirvesi \u00f6ncesinde konu\u015fulan yeni senaryo, AB\u2019nin kendi ad\u0131ndan piyasaya \u00e7\u0131karak Kiev\u2019e geri \u00f6demesiz bir hibe sa\u011flamas\u0131. B\u00f6ylece hem Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n 2026\u2019ya kadar finansal \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015ften korunmas\u0131 hem de dondurulan varl\u0131klar konusunda karar almak i\u00e7in zaman kazan\u0131lmas\u0131 hedefleniyor. Yani Br\u00fcksel, sorun daha fazla b\u00fcy\u00fcmeden ge\u00e7ici bir k\u00f6pr\u00fc kurmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Fakat unutmayal\u0131m: Bu k\u00f6pr\u00fc ne kadar sa\u011flam olursa olsun, asl\u0131nda sadece b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7atla\u011f\u0131n \u00fczerini \u00f6rt\u00fcyor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc as\u0131l mesele h\u00e2l\u00e2 masada duruyor: Rus varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n yeniden yap\u0131lanmas\u0131na tahsis etmek, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n kendi hukuki alan\u0131n\u0131 ne kadar zorlamaya raz\u0131 oldu\u011funun bir testi. Bel\u00e7ika bu testte temkinli; hatta fazlas\u0131yla temkinli. Di\u011fer \u00fclkeler ise daha cesur ad\u0131mlar\u0131n gerekli oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n
Sonu\u00e7ta mesele bir finansman plan\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha fazlas\u0131: Rusya\u2019ya hangi mesaj\u0131n verilece\u011fi, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n direni\u015finin nas\u0131l desteklenece\u011fi ve Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n siyasi cesaretinin s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131n nerede \u00e7izilece\u011fi\u2026 Bu sorular\u0131n cevab\u0131, Aral\u0131k zirvesinde al\u0131nacak kararlarda gizli.<\/p>\n
Avrupa, bu kez ger\u00e7ek bir e\u015fikte. Ya kararl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6sterecek ya da her \u015feyin nihayetinde Bel\u00e7ika\u2019n\u0131n hukuki kayg\u0131lar\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rlanmas\u0131na izin verecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Avrupa Birli\u011fi, Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 ayakta tutacak finansman mekanizmalar\u0131n\u0131 tart\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, Br\u00fcksel\u2019in \u00fczerinde bariz bir gerginlik dola\u015f\u0131yor. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n tam g\u00f6be\u011finde hem hukuki hem siyasi hem de finansal a\u00e7\u0131dan devasa bir risk var: Rusya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n dondurulmu\u015f varl\u0131klar\u0131. Bu varl\u0131klar\u0131n kaderi, sadece Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n gelece\u011fini de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politika cesaretini de belirleyecek. Fakat son g\u00fcnlerde bu tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":116300,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[112],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-117333","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-umut-can-erkan"],"views":69,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117333","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/27"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117333"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117333\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":117334,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/117333\/revisions\/117334"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/116300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117333"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=117333"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=117333"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}