Avrupa ba\u015fkentlerinde son haftalar\u0131n en hararetli tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, sava\u015f sonras\u0131 Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n nas\u0131l bir g\u00fcvenlik \u015femsiyesi alt\u0131na al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131. Bu tart\u0131\u015fmada Fransa ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin sesinin giderek y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u00d6zellikle Emmanuel Macron\u2019un \u201ck\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerindeki g\u00fcvencelerle bu i\u015f olmaz\u201d \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n art\u0131k soyut temennilerden somut ad\u0131mlara y\u00f6nelmesi gerekti\u011fini kabul etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131k konu\u015fal\u0131m: Bat\u0131, iki bu\u00e7uk y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fan Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131nda s\u00fcrekli bir \u201cdenge oyunu\u201c oynad\u0131. Bir yandan Ukrayna\u2019y\u0131 destekledi, di\u011fer yandan Rusya\u2019y\u0131 \u201cfazla tahrik etmeme\u201d denklemi kurdu. Ancak sava\u015f\u0131n gidi\u015fat\u0131, Moskova\u2019n\u0131n tavr\u0131 ve \u00f6zellikle ABD\u2019nin haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmal\u0131 28 maddelik plan, art\u0131k bu gri alanda durman\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n
Fransa ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etti\u011fi \u201cG\u00f6n\u00fcll\u00fcler Koalisyonu\u201d, sava\u015f bittikten sonra Ukrayna topraklar\u0131na \u00e7ok uluslu bir g\u00fcvenlik g\u00fcc\u00fc konu\u015fland\u0131rma fikrini yeniden masaya koydu. Kiev ve Odesa gibi stratejik \u015fehirlerde Frans\u0131z, \u0130ngiliz ve hatta T\u00fcrk askerlerinin e\u011fitim ve g\u00fcvenlik operasyonlar\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Bu, elbette Moskova\u2019n\u0131n ho\u015funa gitmeyecek; zaten gitmiyor da. Ancak Bat\u0131 ba\u015fkentleri giderek \u015fu noktaya yakla\u015f\u0131yor:\u00a0E\u011fer ortada asker\u00ee cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k yoksa, bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131 sadece bir k\u00e2\u011f\u0131t par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r.<\/b><\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Keir Starmer\u2019\u0131n vurgulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi, \u201cRusya ciddi bir yan\u0131t alaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131rsa bar\u0131\u015f kal\u0131c\u0131 olur.\u201d Bu c\u00fcmle, sahaya ayak basmadan g\u00fcvenli\u011fin in\u015fa edilemeyece\u011finin ilan\u0131 niteli\u011finde.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcm bu tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n g\u00f6lgesinde ABD\u2019nin haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Rus \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na fazla yak\u0131n oldu\u011fu gerek\u00e7esiyle tepki \u00e7eken 28 maddelik plan var. Plan\u0131n orijinal h\u00e2li, Ukrayna\u2019da NATO varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tamamen d\u0131\u015fl\u0131yordu. Bu, sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ilk g\u00fcnden beri Moskova\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck taleplerinden biri.<\/p>\n
Ancak Avrupa’n\u0131n itirazlar\u0131, sahadaki ger\u00e7eklik ve Ukrayna’n\u0131n tepkisi, Washington\u2019\u0131 plan \u00fczerinde ciddi revizyonlara zorlad\u0131. Ukraynal\u0131 yetkililerle yap\u0131lan Cenevre g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri sonras\u0131 ABD\u2019nin, Ruslarla yeniden masaya oturmas\u0131 da bunun g\u00f6stergesi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcm bunlar\u0131n arka plan\u0131nda Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n son derece insani bir korkusu var:
\nBu sava\u015f\u0131n kaderi, kendilerini ilgilendiren bir co\u011frafyada, kendileri olmadan belirlenmesin.<\/b><\/p>\n
AB \u00fclkeleri \u00f6zellikle Rus Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n dondurulmu\u015f varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131m\u0131 ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n gelece\u011fi gibi konular\u0131n kendi onaylar\u0131n\u0131 gerektirdi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Almanya Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Friedrich Merz\u2019in \u201cBu Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik meselesidir\u201d s\u00f6zleri bo\u015funa de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
Ukrayna Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Zelenskiy ise, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump ile yapaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeye haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken ince bir diplomasi y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcyor. Hem bar\u0131\u015fa \u201cengel olmad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131\u201d g\u00f6stermek hem de \u00fclkesinin g\u00fcvenli\u011fini riske atacak bir anla\u015fmaya imza atmamak zorunda.<\/p>\n
Bir yandan milyonlarca Ukraynal\u0131 \u201conurlu bir bar\u0131\u015f\u201d bekliyor; di\u011fer yanda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n talepleri ile Bat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n \u00e7ekinceleri aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f bir diplomatik labirent var.<\/p>\n
Fransa ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 asl\u0131nda \u015funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor:<\/p>\n
E\u011fer sahada g\u00fcvenlik g\u00fcc\u00fc yoksa, sava\u015f bitti\u011fi g\u00fcn bir yenisi ba\u015flayabilir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n
E\u011fer Moskova cayd\u0131r\u0131lmazsa, hi\u00e7bir g\u00fcvenlik garantisinin anlam\u0131 kalmaz.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n
E\u011fer Avrupa s\u00f6z sahibi olmazsa, Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n kaderi ba\u015fkalar\u0131n\u0131n elinde \u015fekillenir.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Bu denklemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin de ad\u0131 ge\u00e7iyor;<\/p>\n
bu da Ankara\u2019n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde Ukrayna sonras\u0131 g\u00fcvenlik mimarisinde daha g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr bir rol oynayabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n
Bar\u0131\u015f ihtimali hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar masada. Fakat bu bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n nas\u0131l bir bar\u0131\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 \u2013kal\u0131c\u0131 m\u0131, ge\u00e7ici mi, yoksa yan\u0131lsama m\u0131\u2013 esas m\u00fccadele \u015fimdi ba\u015fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Avrupa ba\u015fkentlerinde son haftalar\u0131n en hararetli tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, sava\u015f sonras\u0131 Ukrayna\u2019n\u0131n nas\u0131l bir g\u00fcvenlik \u015femsiyesi alt\u0131na al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131. Bu tart\u0131\u015fmada Fransa ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin sesinin giderek y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u00d6zellikle Emmanuel Macron\u2019un \u201ck\u00e2\u011f\u0131t \u00fczerindeki g\u00fcvencelerle bu i\u015f olmaz\u201d \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n art\u0131k soyut temennilerden somut ad\u0131mlara y\u00f6nelmesi gerekti\u011fini kabul etti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. A\u00e7\u0131k konu\u015fal\u0131m: Bat\u0131, iki bu\u00e7uk y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fan Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131nda […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":116300,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[112],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-116968","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-umut-can-erkan"],"views":41,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116968","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/27"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=116968"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116968\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":116969,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/116968\/revisions\/116969"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/116300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=116968"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=116968"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mersingazetesi.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=116968"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}